World Economic Forum — Global Risks Report 2026 (21st edition)
January 2026.
Original: https://www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2026/
PDF: https://reports.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2026.pdf
(WEF blocks programmatic fetch — content below reconstructed from WEF press release, NCSU ERM exec summary, mediastories.)

Framing: "age of disorder." Marks the second half of "a turbulent decade." Three horizons analyzed: current/2026, 2028, 2036.

TEN-YEAR HORIZON TOP RISKS (2036):
1. Extreme weather events
2. Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
3. Critical change to Earth systems
4. Misinformation and disinformation
5. Adverse outcomes of AI technologies
[6–10 not detailed in available summaries]

Five of the top 10 ten-year risks are environmental.

KEY DELTAS / OBSERVATIONS:
- "Adverse outcomes of AI" rose from 30th place (short term) to 5th (ten year) — largest single ranking jump.
- "Inequality" identified as most-interconnected global risk over next decade.
- Respondent sentiment: 57% describe ten-year outlook as "turbulent" or "stormy." ~20% expect "global catastrophic" outcomes.
- ~40% characterize ten-year environmental outlook as "stormy" specifically.

COMPARISON NOTES:
- WEF's top concern (extreme weather) matches the trigger of NIC's "Tragedy and Mobilization" and BCG's "Climate Coalition" — but WEF treats it as a *risk to manage*, not a *catalyzing crisis*.
- WEF's AI risk framing is opposite to BCG's "AI Abundance" treatment; the two reports disagree on whether AI's 2050 net effect is positive.